Friday, February 14, 2020

How strategically muslims vote? An illustration from Delhi elections.

Will so called secular, intellectuals and liberals read the writing on the wall, written in big bold letters?

It is often discussed,  muslims vote strategically with a clear objective to defeat BJP. Data compiled(courtesy Dainik Jagaran, Delhi edition, dated 14.02.2020) on voting pattern for seven heavily muslim dominated assembly constituencies for recent Loksabha and Vidhansabha elections in Delhi suggest the same.

During Loksabha elections, in Okhla assembly segment, Cong got 37.18% but same reduced to mere 2.59% during assembly elections. On the other hand, however voting %  of AAP during LS elections in Okhla assembly segment was mere 26.83%, however just within six months, same vote % in Okhla for AAP swelled to 66.03%.

In matiamahal, vote % for Cong has reduced from 65.17% to 3.85%; however during the same six months' period, vote% for AAP swelled from 8.4% to 75.96%

In Ballimaran, vote% for Cong reduced from 53.97% to 4.73%; however during the same period, voting % for AAP swelled from 8.97% to 64.65%.

More or less, same is the picture for other four muslim dominated constituencies in Delhi.

Now, let us ponder over this contrasting fortunes for Cong & AAP during a gap of last  six months. Did congress do something drastically wrong for muslims so that same invited wrath of muslims towards Cong? Probably answer is no. In fact, Congress did everything to pamper muslims. Congress opposed scrapping of article 370, bitterly opposed triple talaaq, CAA, showed it's discomfiture, when Ram Mandir verdict came. On the other hand, AAP  supported #370 and even though opposed CAA, it   maintained distance from Shaheen Bag protests.

So, events of last six months suggest that Congress did all the pampering of muslims but AAP, consciously avoided to be seen openly along with muslims.

When Cong so openly supported muslims , why it was so much  punished by muslim voters? Answer to the same is simple, muslims strategically vote to defeat BJP. During Loksabha elections, Congress under aggressive,  Rahul Gandhi was on high and hence almost all muslims preferred Cong to AAP;,however death of Shiela Dixit left Delhi unit of Congress rudderless and dimmed the prospects of Cong during assembly elections. And hence for muslims, AAP was better placed to defeat BJP and hence almost all muslims switched over from Cong to AAP.

Hope so called  secular, intellectuals and liberals may be able to  read  writing on the wall so clearly"muslims vote strategically to defeat BJP, only party feeling unashamed about protecting genuine  interests of hindus  and hindutva" but probably they can't read the same written so clearly in big bold letters because for so called secular, intellectuals and liberals among hindus, anything associated with hindus and hindutva is communalism and for them abusing hindus and making fun of hindutva is the  only form of secularism.

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